
Saxo Market Call Little and not so little grenades rolling around...
9 snips
Jan 23, 2026 Markets breathe a sigh of relief after avoiding a US-Europe trade war, but potential issues loom. A winter storm in the US raises concerns about its impact on AI data centers amidst rising protests. The EU-Mercosur trade deal could stir internal strife in European institutions. UK Labour politics pose risks for sterling and gilts as by-elections approach. Plus, insights into bank policy shifts and FX volatility hint at a changing market landscape. Earnings season heats up with heavy-hitters set to report next week.
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Davos Revealed A Language Disconnect
- John Hardy observes Davos exposed a deep communication gap between Europe and the Trump administration.
- He warns that differing worldviews risk persistent diplomatic and trade frictions.
Mercosur Could Rattle EU Politics
- The Mercosur trade deal may open political fault lines within EU institutions and fuel populist backlash.
- John Hardy flags farmer protests and a referral to the European Court of Justice as potential triggers.
UK By-Election Risks Sterling And Gilts
- A by-election in Manchester could elevate Andy Burnham and tilt Labour leftward, worrying markets.
- Hardy notes sterling and gilt yields reacted as investors priced potential policy shifts.
