
FEAR & GREED | Business News How can you climb a career ladder where the first rung is missing?
Dec 31, 2025
Simon Kuestenmacher, co-founder of The Demographics Group and demographic analyst. He talks about how rising university participation has diluted degree value. He outlines degree inflation and the push for postgraduate credentials. He explores how AI is automating many entry-level tasks, shrinking graduate intakes. He warns this could create future mid-career shortages while interpersonal skills grow in importance.
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Degrees Lose Their Elite Signal
- University degrees no longer signal elite ability because far more students attend than decades ago.
- Simon Kuestenmacher warns degree inflation reduced the pay premium and value of degrees for individuals.
AI Erodes Entry-Level Roles
- AI automates many entry-level knowledge tasks that graduates historically performed.
- Simon says employers can hire far fewer graduates by equipping staff with AI tools.
Short-Term Cuts Create Future Gaps
- Reducing graduate intake now risks a shortage of mid-career staff later.
- Simon warns firms may struggle to fill middle roles if they undersupply the bottom of the pyramid.

