The Joseph Carlson Show I Valued Every Stock In My $1.3 Million Portfolio
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Mar 4, 2026 A deep walkthrough of valuing every stock in a $1.3M portfolio using historical multiples and DCF models. Individual company checks include Meta, Amazon, ASML, Costco, Google, Microsoft, Netflix and more. The host compares growth assumptions, target returns and where positions look cheap or pricey. A practical tour of portfolio-wide valuation decisions and future watchlist plans.
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Duolingo Is Small Position But Looks Undervalued
- Duolingo is a small, volatile holding but appears undervalued with potential ~20% EPS growth and a 22x multiple giving ~17% expected returns.
- Carlson warns it's high-risk/high-reward and could fall further if user growth stalls.
Google Is Fairly Valued But Resilient To AI Risk
- Google sits around fair value historically; a DCF with ~16% EPS growth and a ~27x multiple reaches Carlson's 15% target.
- He highlights Google's diversified monetization and resilience amid AI fears.
Intuit Dropped To Decade Lows Yet Carlson Still Likes It
- Carlson explains why he kept Intuit through the SaaS sell-off, calling it one of few software stocks he retained.
- Intuit's metrics hit decade lows; with ~13% EPS growth and a 32x multiple he models ~20% returns, so he sees it as attractive.