Matt Freeman gives a primer in how to uses Bayesian decision making in normal life, via decision trees. We also discuss utilitarianism, the Guild of the Rose, and recent AI advances. We are now in the early singularity.

Guild of the Rose:
Playlist of Decision Tree “lectures”
Guild workshop page 1
Guild workshop page 2
Guild workshop page 3

Reflecting on the 2022 Guild of the Rose Workshops

How to identify whether text is true or false directly from a model’s *unlabeled activations*.

Zvi On the Diplomacy AI

AI superpowers – can tell race via chest Xray. Can tell sex via retina scan (87%).

0:00:23 Practical Decision Trees
1:05:46 Utilitarian & Other Ethics considerations
1:31:01 Guild of the Rose info
1:39:02 Bayesian AI Corner
2:08:18 Should we have a Butlerian Jihad?
2:31:36 Thank the Patron!

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?

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Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast

LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode:

Nope

Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: (for real this time)

0 And 1 Are Not Probabilities

Beautiful Math

#59 - Lindsay Souvannarath et la tuerie d’Halifax