Behind the Balance Sheet

#9 Two Capital Cyclists - Russell Napier & Jeremy Hosking on the Capital Cycle, Financial Repression & Protecting Wealth

9 snips
Apr 21, 2022
Ask episode
AI Snips
Chapters
Transcript
Episode notes
INSIGHT

Why Large Government Loan Guarantees Make Inflation Likely

  • Inflation is now more likely because governments are legitimising large scale money creation via credit guarantees and emergency financing.
  • Russell Napier cites pandemic and energy crisis loan guarantees plus potential defence loans as structural increases in money supply that drive inflation.
ADVICE

Position Portfolios For An Era Of Forced Bond Buying

  • Prepare for financial repression: regulators and rules can be used to channel savers into government bonds, artificially depressing yields.
  • Napier warns regulators can force life insurers and pension funds to hold government debt, causing them to sell equities they currently own.
INSIGHT

Compulsory Bond Buying Hits Index Stocks Hardest

  • Forcing institutional savers into bonds will disproportionately hit index and widely held equities because those are what institutions own.
  • Napier argues compelled buying of bonds implies compelled selling of broadly held equities, pressuring index-heavy stocks.
Get the Snipd Podcast app to discover more snips from this episode
Get the app