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TIP622: Finding Certainty in an Uncertain World w/ Joseph Shaposhnik

116 snips
Apr 12, 2024
Joseph Shaposhnik, a seasoned Portfolio Manager at TCW, shares his high-quality investing philosophy. He discusses the importance of certainty in investing, emphasizing recurring revenue as a key criterion for evaluating business quality. Joseph critiques traditional advice on business selection, presenting his own investment approach developed under legendary mentors. He highlights his focus on growth in free cash flow and underscores the significance of management incentives in driving long-term shareholder value, using Meta as a case study to illustrate market volatility versus stability.
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ADVICE

Incentives and Capital Allocation

  • Analyze management incentives to understand their motivations and potential capital allocation decisions.
  • Align your investments with management teams incentivized by free cash flow growth and return on capital.
ANECDOTE

Incentive Structures Compared

  • Walters Kluwer, with incentives tied to sales, free cash flow, and return on invested capital, showed exceptional performance.
  • Conversely, a company incentivized by EBITDA and EPS diluted returns through low-return acquisitions.
ANECDOTE

Capital Allocation Examples

  • Credit bureaus, despite their oligopoly, underperformed due to poor M&A decisions, prioritizing non-core acquisitions.
  • In contrast, Fair Isaac, their partner, focused on share repurchases and outperformed significantly.
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