Bulwark Takes NEW POLL: Trump Approval COLLAPSES to 33%
Mar 30, 2026
A deep dive into a new UMass poll showing Trump's approval plunging to 33%. Discussion of how Iran, rising gas prices, and inflation shape voter attitudes. Debate over tweet-driven foreign policy and the risks of escalation. Concerns about media firings, consolidation, and growing political influence over institutions.
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Trump Approval Plummets Toward Bush Line
- Trump's approval has fallen sharply to 33% in the UMass March 2026 poll, marking a steady decline from 44% in April 2025.
- JVL and Sarah point to cumulative effects of the Iran war, rising gas prices, and inflation as drivers of the drop toward the 'Bush line'.
Iran War Deepens Voter Anxiety Over Energy Costs
- Voter concern about the Iran war is acute: only 27% see attacking Iran as 'America first' while 79% expect attacks to raise oil prices.
- Sarah highlights broad public worry about energy-price consequences and minimal support for ground troops (8%).
Foreign Policy By Tweet Undercuts Credibility
- Sarah argues Trump's foreign-policy tweeting — claiming regime change and threatening strikes — would have disqualified him a decade ago.
- She frames these pre-dawn all-caps tweets as market manipulation plus escalation risk that erodes public trust.