Rates & Barrels: A show about Baseball 2026 Starting Pitcher Preview, Part 3
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Feb 5, 2026 A deep dive into mid-to-late draft starting pitchers taken around picks 175–250. They break down pitch mix changes, injury histories, and velocity trends for a long list of names. The conversation highlights stash candidates, rehab timelines, and where spring performance or contract signals could change draft value.
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Lean Toward Bassitt Over Overperformers
- Prefer Chris Bassitt over Abbott-type lefties when comparing mid-round veteran starters with similar peripherals.
- Monitor Bassitt's velocity and park change before committing shares given his age and market shifts.
Kelly's Craft Masks Aging Risk
- Merrill Kelly's longevity owes to command and pitch mix; aging velocity could sharply change his 2026 projection.
- Expect regression if his fastball drops below 92 mph and be cautious at current ADP.
Boyd's Second Half Linked To Shoulder Bruise
- Matthew Boyd's midseason dip coincided with release-point and ride changes, likely linked to a shoulder bruise.
- Use Boyd primarily as a first-half streamer, especially in cold Wrigley starts.