Call Me Back - with Dan Senor Did Israel force America into war with Iran? - with Nadav Eyal and Mark Dubowitz
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Mar 4, 2026 
Mark Dubowitz, U.S. national-security analyst focused on Iran policy, and Nadav Eyal, Israeli journalist covering security and regional strategy, unpack recent strikes, leadership chaos in Iran, and succession uncertainty. They discuss the Qom strike’s aims, the campaign against Iran’s nuclear and missile programs, debates over who decided to strike, and what Israel and the U.S. would view as a victory.
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Qom Strike Disrupted Succession Pathway
- The Qom strike disrupted Iran's formal succession process by targeting the assembly of experts amid a convening.
- Nadav and Dan report the strike aimed to signal capability without necessarily killing the entire clerical body to avoid martyrizing them further.
Hardliner Succession Signals Regime Entrenchment
- Moshtaba Khamenei (Ali Khamenei's son) is portrayed as the likely hardline successor, increasing regime militarization.
- Nadav and Mark stress his close IRGC ties and that his elevation signals a choice to double down rather than compromise.
Three Phase Military To Political Strategy
- The campaign prioritizes degrading Iran's nuclear, missile, and repression capacities first, then building political pressure to fracture the regime.
- Mark lists strikes on Parchin and Isfahan and targeting senior commanders as central to the operational phase.
