Shaun Newman Podcast #1010 - Luongo - Krainer - Kokinda
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Mar 3, 2026 
Tom Luongo, a libertarian ex-chemist, goat farmer and geopolitical commentator; Alex Krainer, Croatian ex-hedge fund manager and macro writer; Susan Kokinda, political organizer promoting industrial revival. They debate Iran strikes, factionalism inside Iran, regional and great-power responses, British intelligence influence, and the domestic political fallout for Trump. Short, pointed takes and sharp geopolitical framing.
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Neocons And Europe Are Furious
- European neocon backlash signals this action breaks with prior regime change orthodoxy and unsettles allies.
- Alex Krainer highlights John Bolton and British commentators condemning Trump for lacking a traditional regime-change strategy.
Decapitation Risk Galvanizes Hardliners
- Killing Iran's supreme leader risks galvanizing Iranians and consolidating support behind hardliners.
- Alex warns funerals and national trauma can close ranks and strengthen the most militant factions rather than spark popular revolt.
Iran Shows Political Fractures
- Iran is not monolithic; civilian leadership and IRGC can diverge, shaping responses unpredictably.
- Tom Luongo points to mixed Iranian signals: civilian willingness to negotiate versus IRGC calls for retaliation.