The Herd with Colin Cowherd

Sharp or Square - Sharp NFL Playoffs Divisional Bets: Bills-Broncos, Niners-Seahawks, Texans-Patriots, Rams-Bears

Jan 16, 2026
Joshua 'Duck' Nunn, a college football betting analyst and co-host of the Big Bets On Campus podcast, joins to dive deep into the NFL Divisional playoffs and the College Football Playoff National Championship. They discuss the coaching changes in Pittsburgh and offer betting insights on key matchups, including Bills vs. Broncos and 49ers vs. Seahawks. Duck highlights Indiana's impressive turnaround and his betting angles for their game against Miami, recommending some intriguing prop bets and exotic wagers. It's a mix of analytical insights and entertaining predictions!
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INSIGHT

Line Flips Signal Risk

  • Sharp money moved the Bills-Broncos spread and flipped the market to Denver.
  • The hosts note flipped lines historically perform poorly for the team that becomes favorite.
ADVICE

Reduce Stakes After Risky Line Moves

  • Avoid blindly riding a line flip; reduce stake when historical data warns against it.
  • Simon and Chad say they'll lower bet size on bills after seeing the flip and injury issues.
INSIGHT

Scheme Beats Star Power For Totals

  • Game script and team strengths (run vs pass) shape totals more than star power.
  • Hosts argue both the Broncos and Bills prefer running, which supports an under.
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