The Morning Edition Peter Hartcher on why the Iran conflict is spiralling out of control
Mar 25, 2026
Peter Hartcher, international and political editor known for sharp geopolitical analysis. He tracks how the Iran conflict has rapidly escalated and the risks to global oil and markets. He explains Iran's grip on the Strait of Hormuz and regional strikes that have damaged energy infrastructure. He explores how unpredictable US moves and political pressures have amplified the crisis.
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Iran Conflict Triggered Major Global Oil Shock
- The Iran conflict has produced the largest global oil disruption in recent memory, cascading into rising inflation and recession risks.
- Peter Hartcher cites Iranian attacks, Gulf damage and the Strait of Hormuz closure as the specific mechanisms driving oil shortages and economic pain.
Trump's Whiplash Strategy Widens Uncertainty
- Donald Trump’s strategy has been volatile, shifting hourly between threats and offers to negotiate, creating unpredictability in managing the war and oil supply.
- Hartcher notes Trump demanded reopening the Strait of Hormuz then offered talks and sanctions relief the next day, illustrating erratic policy.
US Force Movements Raise Escalation Risk
- The US has redeployed significant military forces to the Middle East, increasing the possibility of further escalation.
- Hartcher mentions a 3,000-strong marine expeditionary force from Japan and airborne paratroopers arriving by week's end as options for action.