At Any Rate

Global Commodities: Deconstructing the Metal Mania

6 snips
Feb 6, 2026
Greg Shearer, Head of Base & Precious Metals Research at J.P. Morgan, offers market-savvy analysis of metals trading and investor behavior. He breaks down gold’s surge and pullback, dissects silver’s extreme volatility and risks, and explains why retail flows hit silver harder. The conversation also covers institutional positioning and tactical re-entry strategies.
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ADVICE

Buy The Dip In Gold

  • Buy the dip in gold given central bank purchases and expected ETF inflows.
  • Greg Shearer projects $6,300/oz by Q4 2026 and recommends staying the course on the bullish outlook.
INSIGHT

Gold Reflects Real-Asset Regime

  • Gold's recent surge and reversal reflected dollar moves and momentum that became unsustainable.
  • Greg Shearer still sees gold as the cleanest expression of real-asset outperformance versus paper assets this year.
ADVICE

Wait To Re-Engage Silver

  • Avoid re-entering silver until froth is shaken out and fundamentals reassert.
  • Greg Shearer is more apprehensive on silver and waits for a clearer price level to re-engage.
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