1000x How To Trade Crypto Cycles with Flood
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Mar 5, 2026 A deep look at crypto market cycles and why now might be time to rethink Bitcoin allocations. A breakdown of trading strategies from market making to tactical rebalancing. A primer on why perpetuals could reshape retail trading and which platforms may win. A list of high conviction trade themes for 2026 and tips on preserving capital while hunting asymmetric opportunities.
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Hedge Hype With Spot Futures And Options
- Use multiple hedging levers on hype positions: hold spot, short futures, and add options as needed.
- This multi-leg approach gives flexibility to protect downside, monetize carry, and adjust quickly during volatility.
Missing The UST Short Taught Asymmetric Risk Lesson
- Flood recalls missing the obvious Luna/UST arb where shorting the stablecoin had capped downside and massive asymmetric upside.
- Shorting UST at ~95 cents would have offered ~20:1 risk-reward if one understood the mechanics beforehand.
Flows Multiply Market Cap Not Just Price
- Flood models token value by flow and active supply; buyback machines can produce outsized market-cap multipliers.
- For Hyperliquid, he estimated buybacks could translate to a one-to-twenty market-cap multiple versus raw dollars bought.