
FICC Focus Credit Crunch: Adams Street’s Diehl on Trends in Private Capital
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Sep 15, 2025 Jeff Diehl, managing partner at Adams Street, shares insights from his journey in private equity and the launch of their private credit business. He discusses the risks of rising default rates in the current economic environment and the impact of interest rates on direct lending. Diehl emphasizes the importance of sector focus and technology in investment strategies, alongside the need for accurate cash flow assessments for debt servicing. He also explores the synergies between private equity and venture capital, shedding light on the evolving dynamics of the asset class.
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Origination, Underwrite, Win: The Three Edges
- Private credit requires origination edge, disciplined underwriting, and a win-rate edge to avoid compromises.
- Hyperscaling (rapid AUM growth, public BDCs) can create deployment pressure that degrades loan quality.
Return Degradation, Not Systemic Collapse
- Adams Street doesn't see private credit as a systemic risk to the financial system.
- The main risk is degraded returns from poor underwriting and compromised lending, not catastrophic broad failures.
Use PE History As A Credit Edge
- Leverage your private equity knowledge and prior files to underwrite credit deals and gain origination.
- Use historical sponsor and company data to avoid lending into inexperienced sponsors or risky deals.
