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The Iran War and What It Means for Australia's Economy & Property Markets

Mar 17, 2026
Simon Kuestenmacher, co-founder of The Demographics Group and data-driven demographer. He explores how the Iran conflict exposes strengths and vulnerabilities in Australia’s economic model. Short takes on how resource exports, supply-chain shocks, inflation, interest-rate pressure, shifting travel and investor behaviour could ripple through households and property markets.
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INSIGHT

Australia's Four Export Pillars Drive Resilience

  • Australia's prosperity rests on four simple export pillars: mining, agriculture, tourism, and international education.
  • Simon Kuestenmacher argues this makes Australia uncomplex but resilient because global demand for raw materials, food, holidays, and English-language degrees will persist.
INSIGHT

Strait Of Hormuz Disruption Favors Australian Exports

  • Geopolitical disruption around the Strait of Hormuz creates scarcity that lifts global prices for oil, gas, coal and fertilizer.
  • Simon notes Australia benefits as an energy and food exporter if shipping lanes to us remain open, even while global consumers suffer.
INSIGHT

Energy Shock Makes Higher Inflation And Rates Likely

  • Higher fuel and shipping costs from the conflict are inflationary and will raise household and business costs across the board.
  • Simon warns that higher energy-driven inflation makes rate cuts unlikely and could even push rates up to control prices.
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