Neutrality Studies Iran Ready To Kill Ground Invasion; No Negotiations; Next Oil Shock | Prof. S.M. Marandi
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Mar 26, 2026 
Professor Seyed Mohammad Marandi, Tehran-based Middle East scholar, offers on-the-ground analysis from Iran. He discusses signs pointing to a possible U.S. ground invasion, Iran’s asymmetric strike capabilities beyond coastlines, and risks to Gulf shipping and global oil markets. He also covers morale in Tehran, regional power dynamics, and how Gulf states factor into ongoing military plans.
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Tehran Quiet Reflects Civilian Flight And Strategic Shifts
- Tehran remains unusually quiet because many residents left after mass civilian casualties and the New Year holidays reduced activity.
- Seyed Mohammad Marandi links lighter traffic and reduced bombing to possible ammo shortages and U.S./Israeli preparations for a ground invasion.
Ground Invasion Won't Stop Iran's Long Range Threats
- Marandi predicts a U.S. ground invasion is imminent, driven by Trump’s desperation and political pressures.
- He argues limited island seizures won't stop Iran's long-range missile and drone strikes, which require deep incursions to suppress.
Troop Casualties May Not Deter Decision Makers
- Marandi asserts U.S. leadership undervalues troop lives and may risk high casualties because troops are viewed as expendable by elites.
- He ties potential public backlash to historical Vietnam patterns where body counts shifted politics.