Here & Now Anytime What China thinks of Trump's war with Iran
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Mar 18, 2026 Barry McCaffrey, retired U.S. Army general and national security analyst, and David Lampton, China scholar and former director of China Studies at SAIS, discuss China’s stakes in the U.S.-Iran conflict. They cover Beijing’s preference for de-escalation, the impact of postponing a Trump-Xi summit, questions about intelligence and U.S. strategy, and risks from Iran closing the Strait of Hormuz.
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China Sees U.S.-Iran War As Diplomatic Opportunity
- China views the U.S.-Iran war as aligning with its interests by weakening U.S. alliances and creating diplomatic openings.
- David M. Lampton notes Iran is China's No.2 oil supplier and a target for Chinese infrastructure rebuilding contracts, deepening ties.
China Avoids Military Role In Hormuz Crisis
- China rejects becoming a combatant to open the Strait of Hormuz and instead urges de-escalation and mediation.
- Lampton warns Beijing won't risk being drawn into combat, especially while U.S. actions hinder Chinese logistics like Panama Canal access.
Summit Must Prioritize Arms Control And Tech Rules
- A U.S.-China summit must focus on arms control and technology rules to prevent regional proliferation spirals.
- Lampton emphasizes China's growing nuclear forces could prompt Japan, Korea, and India to respond, making a clear agenda vital.