17 Year Cycle To Crash Stock Market and Real Estate Market in 2025

Jul 9, 2024

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In this episode, we dive into the intriguing topic of the 17-year cycle that many believe will lead to a significant crash in the stock and real estate markets by 2025. I sit down with market expert Bernard to discuss recent job market data, the impact of upcoming CPI and PPI reports, and historical market trends. We also explore the implications of potential Fed rate cuts and their timing, along with a comprehensive analysis of current market indicators. Whether you're a seasoned trader or just curious about market cycles, this episode offers valuable insights and practical advice.

Key Talking Points with Timestamps

[0:00] Market Update Introduction - Discussion on job market data and upcoming CPI and PPI reports.

[2:16] July's Historical Performance - Insights from the Stock Traders Almanac on why the first two weeks of July are typically strong.

[5:02] Website Features - Bernard highlights the features of his website, including newsletters and live sessions.

[8:14] S&P and Nasdaq Trends - Analysis of recent performance and breakout patterns.

[11:10] Unemployment Rate Trends - Detailed discussion on the implications of the unemployment rate increasing to 4.1%.

[16:30] CPI and Fed's Dual Mandate - Expectations for upcoming CPI numbers and how they influence Fed decisions.

[23:40] 17-Year Cycle Theory - Exploring the theory behind the 17-year cycle and its potential impact on markets in 2025.

[28:34] Fed Rate Cuts and Recessions - Historical data on Fed rate cuts and their correlation with market recessions.

[35:39] Current Market Conditions - Examination of current market trends and the possibility of a recession.

[43:08] Bitcoin and Other Assets - Overview of Bitcoin trends and how to use inverse ETFs for market downturns.

Links & Resources

Break Point Trading: http://breakpointtrading.net
Stock Traders Almanac: https://www.stocktradersalmanac.com/
Fed Watch Tool: https://www.cmegroup.com/trading/interest-rates/countdown-to-fomc.html
Historical Market Data: https://www.marketdata.com