Know Your Risk Podcast

When Great Stocks Feel Uncomfortable

Jan 16, 2026
Zach and Chase explore the impressive rise of Micron's stock, reflecting on missed chances and the memory market's bounce back. They highlight the oddities of market inefficiencies and discuss why appealing stocks can feel risky. The hosts emphasize the importance of active investing in today's fast-paced environment and share insights on managing risk through trimming winners. Geopolitical shifts, particularly Canada's trade strategies, spark a deeper conversation about economic implications. Get ready for some surprising twists in tech and investment psychology!
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ADVICE

Use Trims To Manage Cyclical Bets

  • Sell portions of commodity and cyclical positions as prices spike to avoid round-tripping.
  • Use trims to keep sector exposure constant while freeing cash to buy dips later.
INSIGHT

Stare Into The Darkness For Hairpin Turns

  • Investing isn't about perfectly predicting the future but spotting inflection points early.
  • Focus on recognizing changes quickly and adjusting rather than forecasting exact outcomes.
ADVICE

Look For Nonconsensus Futures With Confirmations

  • Try to predict the future only to the extent that markets haven't priced it in.
  • Seek non-consensus futures and watch for confirming signals before increasing conviction.
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