2WAY Tonight with Mark Halperin 2026 Midterms Update With Mark Halperin: Who's Most Vulnerable? Will Democrats Flip House or Senate?
24 snips
Feb 25, 2026 
Jeff Roe, Republican strategist who runs a major consulting firm, and Jaime Harrison, former DNC chair and South Carolina strategist, spar over 2026 terrain. They debate which party has message, data, and GOTV advantages. Conversations cover swing states, key Senate and House battlegrounds, Texas and Maine primaries, social media influence, and how mail vs in-person voting could decide close races.
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House Procedure Is A Democratic Political Weapon
- Congress can be used as a political weapon; Democrats have leveraged House procedures to force votes and highlight GOP disarray.
- Jaime Harrison points to discharge petitions and Hakeem Jeffries' role exposing Mike Johnson's weak conference control.
Ballot Method Shapes GOTV Advantage
- GOTV operations are close but context matters: mail-in ballots favor Democrats, in-person voting favors Republicans.
- Jeff Roe notes Democrats win ~70% of mail ballots while Republicans fare better on Election Day turnout in-person.
Paxton Runoff Prediction And Confidence
- Jeff Roe predicts a Cornyn–Paxton runoff with Paxton winning and says his client will top the primary vote.
- Roe expresses confidence Paxton would win the runoff even if Trump later endorsed Cornyn, reflecting Texas primary dynamics.