
Statecraft One Year of Trump’s Economic Statecraft
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Jan 27, 2026 Arnab Datta, a policy implementation director focused on industrial policy; Peter Harrell, former White House international economics lead with sanctions and trade expertise; and Daleep Singh, economist and ex-deputy national security advisor for international economics. They trace Venezuela oil seizure, tariff strategy versus China, export controls, allied investment to counter China, and industrial policy tools like equity, loans, and market infrastructure.
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Why Sanctions Missed Venezuelan Oil
- Sanctions failed to stop Venezuela and Iran from exporting oil because China built a 'dark fleet' and continued purchases.
- Peter Harrell says Trump chose military seizures over pressing China economically to avoid blowing up a China trade deal.
Price Of Seizing Foreign Oil
- Bringing Venezuelan oil to markets risks depressing global prices and harming U.S. shale producers' viability.
- Arnab Datta warns cheap foreign oil can weaken domestic energy security long-term.
Venezuela's Oil Is Distressed Not Turnkey
- Venezuela's oil infrastructure is degraded and needs huge capex to restore production.
- Daleep Singh estimates over $100 billion and years to rehabilitate heavy crude facilities.


