The Herd with Colin Cowherd Sharp or Square - SWEET 16 MARCH MADNESS Betting Preview: College Basketball Picks & Predictions
Mar 26, 2026
Joshua "Duck" Nunn, college basketball bettor and co-host of Big Bets On Campus, breaks down Sweet 16 best bets and futures strategy. He previews Thursday and Friday matchups, highlights underdog angles like Iowa and Texas, and discusses coaching stock and how injuries shape betting edges. Short, sharp takes on where to look for value in March Madness.
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Why Cinderella Runs Are Rarer Today
- March Madness has fewer true Cinderella runs now because NIL and transfers let rich programs hoard talent.
- Joshua "Duck" Nunn and Simon Hunter say mid-majors get plucked year-to-year, shrinking upset chances in later rounds.
Coaching Strategy Has Shifted Toward Older Players
- Coaches are leaning on older transfer portal players and ex-pros rather than five-star high school recruits to win now.
- Chad Millman notes programs prioritize veteran physicality and experience over fresh high-school stars.
Iowa's Slow System Produced A Big Upset
- Iowa's win over Florida was the tournament's biggest surprise, tied to their slow pace and unselfish system.
- Nunn recounts Bennett Sturtz's late-game possession and a Robert Morris transfer hitting the corner three to seal it.