This Is Why

Ukraine war: are we inching closer to peace?

Apr 23, 2025
In a compelling discussion, military analyst Michael Clarke delves into the complexities of the Ukraine conflict. He highlights the recent downgrade in diplomatic talks and the implications of U.S. policy shifts, especially amidst Donald Trump's push for a ceasefire. Clarke explores the strategic importance of Crimea and the persistent violence on the front lines, questioning whether peace is within reach or further away. With international negotiations stalled, the challenges of achieving a lasting solution are examined in depth.
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INSIGHT

Putin's Easter Truce as Political Gesture

  • Putin's proposal of a brief Easter truce was unrealistic and possibly a tactic to keep Trump engaged.
  • The truce was never practical and did not materialize due to fighting volumes.
INSIGHT

U.S. Peace Plan Echoes Kellogg Proposal

  • The U.S. peace plan is similar to Keith Kellogg's 2023 ceasefire-in-place proposal.
  • It involves Ukraine ceding about 20% of territory, but aims for a plausible ceasefire framework.
INSIGHT

Ceasefire Would Confirm Crimea Annexation

  • The ceasefire would confirm Russian control over Crimea but not all claimed territories.
  • Russia might withdraw somewhat from Kherson, preserving Ukrainian access to the Dnieper River.
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