Rates & Barrels: A show about Baseball Elbow Trouble for an Ace & The Importance of Contact Point
12 snips
Mar 5, 2026 They dig into an ace’s lingering elbow soreness and what multiple evaluations might mean for his season. A repeat PED positive and its roster fallout get scrutiny. Starling Marte’s fit in Kansas City and outfield/DH scenarios are debated. New hitting metrics like max bat speed and the trickiness of contact point drive a discussion on measurement, swing intent, and training bleed into live at-bats.
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Jed's 52-Yard Hole In One
- Jed Lowrie described his 52-yard hole-in-one at Bandon Dunes and the plaque the course gave him.
- The group debated whether a short par-three course ace should count as a first official hole-in-one, making the moment memorable and funny.
Hunter Greene Elbow Uncertainty And Probabilities
- Hunter Greene reported offseason elbow soreness and bone chips, prompting the Reds to send him for MRIs and two evaluations.
- Eno Sarris argued projecting Greene to zero innings is premature; a 70–80 inning projection better captures mid-case injury uncertainty.
Use Probabilistic Projections After Injury News
- Don’t overreact to early injury reports by assuming season-ending outcomes; use probabilistic innings projections instead.
- Eno suggested 70–80 innings as a middle-ground projection reflecting possibilities from short-term rest to a second-half return.