
Stray Reflections Build, baby, build
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Jun 7, 2025 Daniel Dreyfus, CIO at Bornite Capital, discusses the urgent need for enhanced U.S. power infrastructure to meet rising electrification demands. He delves into the evolving job market influenced by AI, emphasizing a return to skilled labor. The conversation covers the critical role of private equity in infrastructure, navigating investment complexities, and the significant implications of China's export cuts on global commodities. Dreyfus highlights the relationship between gold prices and federal debt, providing insights into future market dynamics.
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Private vs Public Infrastructure
- Private equity efficiently raises capital for infrastructure, trading at premiums compared to public markets.
- Public infrastructure assets trade at discounts, offering liquidity and valuation opportunities.
Political Support for Infrastructure
- Federal infrastructure spending remains a low priority for cuts despite political shifts.
- Some subsidies may be cut, but funds might reallocate toward roads, bridges, and grid upgrades.
Cautious Build Amid AI Demand
- Power producers avoid speculative building and require long-term contracts before expanding capacity.
- AI and data center demand add urgency but infrastructure builds cautiously to prevent oversupply.
