If You're Listening Trump’s on-again, off-again negotiations with Iran
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Apr 13, 2026 A rapid catch-up on the latest US–Iran ceasefire talks and the social-media theatrics shaping diplomacy. Discussion of Iran’s pause and 10-point proposal, and how Israeli strikes and Pakistan meetings upended negotiations. Exploration of a US blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, risks of boarding foreign tankers, and who stands to gain from shifting oil flows.
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Trump's Public Bluster Led To A Two Week Pause
- Donald Trump escalated threats publicly on Truth Social, then negotiated a temporary two-week suspension after Iran offered a 10-point plan.
- Iran's plan demanded full cessation of regional wars, Strait reopening, compensation, sanctions relief, and a no-nuclear pledge as a negotiation baseline.
Israeli Strikes Undermined Ceasefire Momentum
- Israel's massive strikes across Lebanon on the same day undermined the emerging US-Iran ceasefire and complicated talks.
- Netanyahu said the US-Iran pause didn't cover Lebanon, while J.D. Vance called it a misunderstanding, deepening confusion.
21 Hour Islamabad Talks End Without Deal
- US and Iranian delegations met in Islamabad with J.D. Vance leading the US side, but talks collapsed after 21 hours.
- Vance announced the failure online and returned to the US, triggering market shocks like an 8% jump in Brent futures.