Bulwark Takes Trump’s New Voters Are Already Bailing
Jan 22, 2026
Tim Miller delves into a revealing New York Times/Siena poll showing a troubling trend for Trump and the GOP. Young and non-white voters, once part of Trump's coalition, are bailing out. Meanwhile, older white voters remain steadfast. Poor ratings on the economy and other issues are driving these defections. Miller emphasizes the economic concerns that are causing many to reconsider their support, while sharing insights into the emotional responses toward Trump's presidency. The outlook for the future is looking challenging for Trump's 2024 ambitions.
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Personal Opening With Subscription App
- Tim Miller opens with a short personal plug about using Rocket Money to manage subscriptions and save money.
- He uses this example to segue into the episode and then moves on to poll analysis.
Trump's 2024 Coalition Has Collapsed
- The New York Times/Siena poll shows Trump's 2024 coalition has largely unraveled within a year.
- Young and non-white voters who swung to Trump have mostly returned to disapproval levels at or worse than 2020.
Demographic Support Snapped Back
- Trump now performs about the same or worse across demographics as he did in 2020, reversing 2024 gains.
- Non-white and 18–29 support went from closer-to-even in 2024 to about minus 50 in 2026.