Pod Save America

Trump Is Falling. Are Democrats Rising?

97 snips
May 5, 2026
Melissa Murray, NYU law professor and constitutional law scholar, joins a lively conversation on Trump’s sinking polls, why Democrats are not cashing in, and the political chaos around Iran and the Strait of Hormuz. They also dig into Spirit’s collapse, redistricting fights, John Fetterman drama, abortion court battles, and her new Constitution book.
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INSIGHT

Trump's Shipping Plan Can't Restore Confidence

  • Trump's Strait of Hormuz "guidance" plan looks more like messaging than control, because insurers, captains, and shippers still have to believe passage is safe.
  • Tommy Vietor notes Iran kept firing at vessels, the Pentagon couldn't guarantee mines were cleared, and fuel markets kept reacting anyway.
INSIGHT

Spirit Airlines Became A Proxy Fight Over Fuel Prices

  • Republicans blaming Spirit's collapse on Biden ignores the immediate driver the hosts emphasized namely soaring jet fuel costs tied to the Iran conflict.
  • Jon Lovett notes Spirit rejected a Frontier merger, chased a JetBlue deal its own CEO said likely wouldn't clear, and never used the legal "failing firm" defense.
INSIGHT

Redistricting Could Shrink A Democratic House Win

  • Democrats still look favored for the House, but late redistricting fights could shrink the margin even with Trump's approval in the 30s.
  • Jon Favreau walks through Louisiana, Tennessee, Alabama, South Carolina, Florida, and Virginia, arguing the likely Republican gain is modest but legally chaotic.
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