WSJ Opinion: Potomac Watch

President Trump, Iran and the Fog of Diplomacy

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Mar 25, 2026
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INSIGHT

Threat Then Pause Was Leverage Not Retreat

  • President Trump used a public threat to strike Iran's power infrastructure as leverage, then postponed strikes citing "productive conversations" while strikes on military targets continued.
  • Matt Continetti frames this as escalation-to-de-escalate and stresses that U.S. forces and strikes signal actions matter more than diplomatic noise.
INSIGHT

Diego Garcia Shows Iran's Missile Reach Is Greater

  • Iran's missile attack on Diego Garcia revealed a much larger strike range than previously acknowledged, roughly 4,000 kilometers, doubling earlier estimates.
  • Kate Batchelder-Odell warns this expands threats to Europe and U.S. logistics, arguing it's evidence Iran seeks long-range capability and global influence.
ADVICE

Ramp Missile Defense Production Now

  • Invest rapidly in missile defense capacity and secure production lines for interceptors to avoid chokepoints and shortages during prolonged conflicts.
  • Kate notes Pentagon plans to quadruple guided seekers and stresses converting agreements into funded contracts is essential.
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