The David Lin Report

Are Markets On Verge Of Imploding? Trader Reveals Key Signals | Jason Shapiro

Jun 23, 2025
Jason Shapiro, founder of the Crowded Market Report, shares his keen insights on market sentiment and positioning indicators. He delves into the distinctions between bear markets and temporary corrections while highlighting the importance of identifying extremes in trading positions. Shapiro discusses strategies for trading yen and gold, and addresses recent trends in the crude oil market influenced by geopolitical factors. He also emphasizes the significance of data in trading strategies, advising against the pitfalls of overtrading for long-term success.
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INSIGHT

Market Already Priced In Geopolitics

  • Markets often price geopolitical conflicts like the Middle East war neutrally if investors are already underweight.
  • Previous conflicts showed that panicking early can cause missed opportunities since markets rallied afterwards.
ADVICE

Trade Positioning Extremes Only

  • Look for positioning extremes indexed above 95 or below 5 to identify potential market turning points.
  • Avoid trading when positioning is neutral, as extremes provide better risk-reward opportunities.
INSIGHT

Silver Positioning Lags Price Surge

  • Recent rapid silver price gains reached extreme long positioning only about a week ago.
  • Extreme positioning highlights risk-reward changes but doesn't guarantee immediate price reversals.
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