The Remnant with Jonah Goldberg

What Should We Want From China? | Interview: Andrew Collier

8 snips
Mar 2, 2026
Andrew Collier, a China macroeconomy and financial-system expert and former Bank of China International USA president. He discusses China’s property boom and how local land-sale reliance and savings behavior created a bubble. He explains Xi Jinping’s economic mindset and why Beijing cracked down on tech firms. They also examine what practical aims the West should pursue with China.
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INSIGHT

Property Bubble Fueled By Land Sales And Speculation

  • China's property boom was driven by local governments selling land and speculative household investment, making housing about one-third of GDP at peak.
  • Xi Jinping's 2021 crackdown (three red lines) forced banks to restrict developer lending, collapsing heavily indebted firms like Evergrande and halving property values.
ANECDOTE

Seeing Empty 125‑Story Towers Illustrates Bubble Mentality

  • Collier recounts touring empty 125‑story high-rises and provincial officials' attitude: "If we build it, they will come."
  • That mindset, plus land‑sale revenue incentives, fueled decades of overbuilding and the ensuing bubble.
ADVICE

Shift Credit Away From Property Toward Industry

  • Reduce reliance on property and redirect credit toward productive sectors like tech and industrial investment rather than speculative real estate.
  • Xi enforced lending limits with the "three red lines," immediately crushing over-leveraged developers and reallocating funds to favored sectors.
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