The Foreign Affairs Interview

Learning to Live With a Nuclear North Korea

21 snips
Apr 30, 2026
Victor Cha, a Korea specialist and former U.S. official, explains why North Korea’s nuclear program has advanced and how Pyongyang exploited diplomatic failures. He discusses ICBM capabilities, Russian support, intelligence limits, and escalation risks. Cha argues for accepting denuclearization as a long-term aim while pursuing a practical “cold peace” to reduce crisis chances and reassure allies.
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INSIGHT

Pyongyang Remains Extremely Opaque To Intelligence

  • North Korea is the hardest intelligence target globally because borders are sealed, few embassies operate, and the U.S. lacks on-the-ground sources.
  • Cha notes much knowledge comes from overhead imagery and third-party reporting, leaving major blind spots about hidden facilities.
ANECDOTE

China Led The Six-Party Talks And Shaped Outcomes

  • In the six-party talks China chaired negotiations, giving Beijing the pen and role of driver while the U.S., Japan, and South Korea tried to keep coordination.
  • Cha observed North Korean negotiators had little leeway and often brought U.S. ideas home for Pyongyang approval.
INSIGHT

Leader Summits Proved Words Without Execution

  • Trump-era brinkmanship risked miscalculation while also testing leader-to-leader diplomacy; Singapore produced an in-principle denuclearization pledge with no execution plan.
  • Cha says summit declarations exposed the perennial problem: no operational steps from Pyongyang or Washington.
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