Uncommon Knowledge

Cold War II: Niall Ferguson on The Emerging Conflict With China | Uncommon Knowledge | Peter Robinson and Niall Ferguson | Hoover Institution

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May 1, 2023
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INSIGHT

Cold War II Is Already Here

  • Cold War II is already underway and is potentially more dangerous than Cold War I due to China's economic and technological rise.
  • Greater interpenetration and modern tech (AI, quantum) make espionage and escalation riskier than before.
ADVICE

Protect Research To Win The Tech Race

  • Protect sensitive research and intellectual property from CCP access to preserve technological advantage.
  • Tighten controls on open-access labs and restrict unfettered transfer of critical knowledge.
ANECDOTE

Kissinger's Cold War Metaphors

  • Ferguson recounts asking Henry Kissinger in 2018 whether we were in a Cold War and getting escalating metaphors.
  • Kissinger progressed from 'foothills' to 'mountain passes' and later called Cold War II more dangerous.
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