It Could Happen Here

Executive Disorder: War on Iran, Kristi Noem, Sea Mines in the Strait of Hormuz, Proton Mail

32 snips
Mar 13, 2026
They debate a possible US campaign against Iran, from mines in the Strait of Hormuz to drone and munition shortages. Political maneuvers and new security initiatives crop up, including Kristi Noem’s role in a mysterious “Shield” project. Markets wobble with oil swings and private-credit risks. A failed protest bombing and ProtonMail compliance raise digital privacy and domestic threat questions.
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INSIGHT

Shield Of The Americas Is More Pageant Than Program

  • Shield of the Americas is a Trump-era anti-cartel coalition pitched at a Doral event and backed by several Latin American governments.
  • The project's public presence is thin: a rudimentary website, event videos, and a 2000s-style logo, suggesting campaign theater over infrastructure.
INSIGHT

U.S. Is Militarizing Anti-Cartel Policy

  • The Pentagon's America's Counter Cartel Conference (AC3) signals militarized anti-cartel operations using SOUTHCOM assets and designations like FTO/DTO.
  • Recent strikes in Ecuador targeted groups labeled as foreign terrorist organizations, blurring counterdrug and counterterror frameworks.
INSIGHT

Drone Swarms Expose U.S. Interceptor Shortages

  • U.S. munitions for missile/drone defense are being consumed in the Iran conflict, raising intercept failure rates from ~6.7% to over 25% in the UAE.
  • Cheap Iranian drones outmatch expensive interceptors, stressing allied air defenses and stockpiles.
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