State of the Markets #231 @DaveHContrarian : The Ultimate Contrarian's guide to the coming Boom & Bust
Nov 13, 2025
Dave Hunter, a seasoned portfolio manager and market strategist, shares his insights on the potential for a market melt-up followed by a significant downturn. He discusses how his contrarian sentiment shapes bullish targets while emphasizing the importance of a multi-faceted approach to analyzing markets. Key topics include the dynamics of precious metals amidst fiat erosion, the bullish outlook for tech stocks, and a looming financial bust. Hunter also highlights the risks of central bank policies and predicts massive future interventions to stabilize markets.
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Raised Targets After April Capitulation
- Dave raised S&P and sector targets after April's violent sell-off because sentiment hit extremes.
- He argued institutions kept 'one foot out the door' and a flush of bullish momentum would follow.
Oil Bear Case Is Supply And Weak Demand
- Oil's downtrend reflects global oversupply and weak demand despite geopolitical shocks.
- Hunter forecast lower long-run oil amid structural demand weakness, not EV disruption.
Bust Drives Rush Into Treasuries And Massive QE
- In a bust, investors will rush to U.S. Treasuries driving yields to near zero and prices up.
- Hunter expects massive central-bank bond buying, far larger than 2020-21 QE.