Politics At Sam and Anne's

UK prepares for war lasting months

Mar 4, 2026
Tension over Trump’s public attack on Keir Starmer and strains in the UK-US relationship take center stage. Military moves to Cyprus and protection of RAF assets raise questions about being drawn into the Middle East conflict. Whitehall’s contingency planning hints at months of disruption. Economic and energy risks, plus market skepticism about tanker escort plans, add to the political drama.
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INSIGHT

UK Military Moves Signal Deeper Involvement

  • Britain is being pulled deeper into the conflict with deployments including HMS Dragon and missile-equipped helicopters to counter drones after RAF Akrotiri was struck.
  • Anne McElvoy warns that UK trade and defence ties with UAE and Bahrain raise risk of blowback from Iranian actions.
INSIGHT

Whitehall Bracing For Months Of Conflict

  • Whitehall expects the Middle East crisis to last months rather than weeks and is rostering staff for three to four month rotations.
  • Sam Coates reports conversations about potentially closing UK embassies in the UAE and Bahrain and dispatching HMS Dragon to protect RAF Akrotiri and Cyprus assets.
INSIGHT

US Plans To Escort Tankers Through Hormuz

  • The Trump administration announced insurance guarantees and naval escorts to reopen the Straits of Hormuz and support tanker traffic.
  • Sam Coates noted the US International Development Finance Corporation would offer insurance and the US Navy might escort tankers, but markets remained sceptical.
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