Will Tariffs Trigger a Trade War? | Open Dialogue | Episode 30

Why is the U.S. raising tariffs—and what does it mean for India and global trade?From income inequality in the U.S. to the China+1 strategy, this episode breaks down how global trade is being reset. We explore the shift from multilateral to bilateral deals, the impact on the reserve currency, and what history—from the Triffin Dilemma to the Nixon Shock—can tell us.Watch the episode for clear insights on trade policies, debt, and India’s manufacturing opportunity.Speakers-Sameer Shetty: President & Head, Digital Business & Transformation, Axis BankNeelkanth Mishra: Chief Economist, Axis Bank & Head of Global Research, Axis Capital🔔 Like, comment, and subscribe for more on global markets and macro shifts.#GlobalEconomy #NeelkanthMishra #TradeWar #TariffImpact #ReserveCurrency #USChinaRelations #IndiaGrowthStory #EconomicInequality #ManufacturingJobs #BrettonWoods #ChinaPlusOneChapters:0:00 - Introduction3:30 - Understanding the problems the US is trying to solve, including inequality, current account deficit, and the multilateral order.15:00 - Recent tariff announcements and their implications for the US and global trade.25:00 - Examination of the political motivations behind the tariffs and the economic tools being used.35:00 - Analysis of how tariffs affect relationships with allies and trading partners, particularly China.45:00 - Understanding the Triffin dilemma and the historical context of the Nixon shock.55:00 - Unexpected reactions in the bond market and the implications of rising yields.1:10:00 - Speculation on future negotiations between the US and China1:25:00 - India’s position because of the shifting dynamics and the potential for increased exports.1:40:00 - Potential long-term implications for the global economySUBSCRIBE TO US: https://www.youtube.com/@OpenDialogueByAxis Download Axis Bank App: https://play.google.com/store/apps/de...For more informative videos and discussion on important topics related to Banking, finance & economics:LinkedIn - https://in.linkedin.com/company/axis-bank Instagram - https://www.instagram.com/opendialoguebyaxisbankFacebook - https://www.facebook.com/axisbank/Twitter - https://x.com/AxisBankCopyright:©Axis Bank Limited [2025]. All rights reserved. This video and all other videos in this channel are protected by copyright law and may not be used or reproduced without the express written permission of the copyright owner.STATUTORY DISCLAIMER:By accessing this video podcast “Podcast”, I acknowledge that Axis Bank Limited and its subsidiaries ("AXIS BANK") makes no warranty, guarantee, or representation as to the accuracy or sufficiency of the information featured in this Podcast. The information, opinions, and recommendations presented in this Podcast are for general information only and any reliance on the information provided in this Podcast is done at your own risk. This Podcast should not be considered professional advice. Unless specifically stated otherwise, AXIS BANK does not endorse, approve, recommend, or certify any information, product, process, service, or organization presented or mentioned in this Podcast, and information from this Podcast should not be referenced in any way to imply such approval or endorsement. Moreover, AXIS BANK makes no warranty that this Podcast, or the server that makes it available, is free of viruses, worms, or other elements or codes that manifest contaminating or destructive properties.AXIS BANK EXPRESSLY DISCLAIMS ANY AND ALL LIABILITY OR RESPONSIBILITY FOR ANY DIRECT, INDIRECT, INCIDENTAL, SPECIAL, CONSEQUENTIAL OR OTHER DAMAGES ARISING OUT OF ANY INDIVIDUAL'S USE OF, REFERENCE TO, RELIANCE ON, OR INABILITY TO USE, THIS PODCAST INFORMATION PRESENTED IN THIS PODCAST