
BNP Paribas Wealth Management Rare Earths: A new flashpoint
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Oct 23, 2025 Edmund Shing, Global Chief Investment Officer at BNP Paribas Wealth Management, dives deep into rare earth metals—vital for modern technology and green energy. He discusses China’s dominance in refining, responsible for 90% of global capacity, creating significant supply challenges. With rising demand from sectors like AI and defense, tensions between the US and China intensify, impacting prices. Shing recommends diversifying investments in funds or ETFs to navigate this volatile landscape and capitalize on medium-term opportunities.
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China's Refining Monopoly Creates A Bottleneck
- Rare earths are 17 elements crucial for semiconductors, defence and electronics.
- China controls ~90% of refining capacity, creating a global bottleneck in supply.
High Capex And Pollution Made Refining Rare
- Processing rare earths requires huge ore volumes, energy and pollution controls.
- China invested heavily over decades to build costly refining capacity that others avoided.
Demand Surge Meets Export Restrictions
- Demand is rising from AI, defence rearmament and renewables, lifting prices.
- China restricting exports while demand grows intensifies geopolitical tensions and price pressure.
