Americano

What role will Turkey play in the Iran conflict?

18 snips
Mar 4, 2026
Owen Matthews, Spectator writer and Russia correspondent with expertise on Turkey and regional geopolitics, offers a brisk tour of Turkey–Iran ties. He discusses whether Iran aimed at Turkey and Ankara’s fear of renewed Kurdish uprisings. He maps Kurdish factions as proxy forces, compares past regime-change blowback, and explains why Turkey’s pragmatic regional influence differs from Iran’s ideological approach.
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INSIGHT

Turkey Keeps Pragmatic Iran Links Despite Tensions

  • Turkey maintains pragmatic ties with Iran across oil, gas and intelligence despite recent missile incursion into Hatay airspace.
  • Owen Matthews argues it would be suicidal for Iran to attack Ankara because Turkey is an honest broker with deep economic links.
INSIGHT

Proxy Plans To Use Kurds Deeply Worry Turkey

  • U.S. and Israel reportedly consider arming Iranian Kurds as a proxy lever against Tehran, which deeply alarms Ankara.
  • Matthews highlights Turkey's 35-year war with Kurdish insurgents and the political power of pro-Kurdish parties inside Turkey.
INSIGHT

Kurdish Foot Soldiers Fit A Risky Regime Change Playbook

  • The reported U.S. plan would use Kurdish forces to engage IRGC units in Iran's west rather than march to Tehran, relying on local actors to do the heavy lifting.
  • Matthews warns such proxy-driven regime-change models have repeatedly produced destabilizing blowback in Iraq, Syria and Libya.
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