Josh Pate's College Football Show Week 7 Upset Alerts + Belichick Disaster & New JP Poll
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Oct 10, 2025 This week, Cole Kubelik, a college football analyst known for his film breakdowns, joins the discussion. They dive into the disaster that is Bill Belichick's tenure at UNC and its ramifications. They spotlight key matchups, including South Carolina vs LSU, exploring the need for LSU to establish a credible run threat. Kubelik highlights the volatility in games like Missouri at Alabama and questions Auburn's ability to compete against Georgia. They also analyze the implications of quarterback changes for Pitt and Indiana's travel impact against Oregon.
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Beware Texas Tech Lookahead Trap
- Josh warns Kansas at Texas Tech is a classic letdown/lookahead trap and assigns a '5' upset rating.
- He advises bettors to respect Texas Tech's defenses but watch for human lapses and Kansas' ability to flip third down conversion rates.
Change Your Pick Before Kickoff If Needed
- Josh originally liked Indiana at Oregon per the model but reversed to Oregon to win and cover before kickoff.
- He advises bettors to weigh model outputs against game context and be willing to change picks pre-kickoff.
JP Poll Is A Neutral-Field Power Rating
- The JP Poll orders teams by neutral-field power ratings rather than human rankings.
- Josh stresses the poll predicts matchup favorites, not subjective rankings like the committee's.