Radio National Breakfast

Can Hezbollah survive another war with Israel?

Mar 11, 2026
Hussein Ibish, a senior scholar reporting from Beirut on Lebanon and regional dynamics. He paints life under constant strikes and mass displacement. He discusses how support for Hezbollah has fractured across Lebanon. He weighs whether the Lebanese army can or should try to disarm the group and the risks of using force.
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ANECDOTE

Beirut Faces Constant Drones And Massive Displacement

  • Beirut is under constant drone activity with loud near explosions and massive internal displacement.
  • Ibish describes 700,000 people fleeing the south into Beirut, many sleeping in streets, cars, stadium tents or cheap hotels.
INSIGHT

Hezbollah Has Lost Broad Public Support

  • Hezbollah's support in Lebanon has fractured, leaving only a core fan base while most of the country is dismayed.
  • Hussein Ibish reports allies like Amal and Speaker Nabih Berri sided with government disarmament calls, showing broad national anger.
INSIGHT

Army Hesitation Makes Disarmament A Delicate Process

  • Disarming Hezbollah depends heavily on the Lebanese army's willingness and Israel's ability to further degrade the group.
  • General Joseph Aoun's commander hesitates fearing military splits and being blamed if disarmament fails, so the process must be cautious.
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