
Daily Politics from the New Statesman Russia's next war?
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Apr 4, 2025 Oliver Moody, Berlin Bureau Chief for The Times and author of "Baltic: The Future of Europe," shares his insights on the precarious geopolitical landscape of the Baltic states. He emphasizes the region as a litmus test for Western resolve against Russia. The discussion covers the historical context of Britain's support for Baltic independence, Germany's military rearmament following recent tensions, and the complex realities of Russia's military strategies. Moody paints a vivid picture of how Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania face unique challenges and resilience in today's uncertain climate.
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Iceland's Recognition
- Western powers initially opposed Baltic independence, fearing it would destabilize Gorbachev.
- Iceland was the first to recognize Lithuania's independence, not a major Western power.
Enduring Threat, Constant Preparation
- The Baltic states and Finland view Russian aggression as an enduring threat, not a new fear.
- They have a long history of preparing for conflict, reflected in their national identity and societal structures.
Baltic Model for Europe
- The Baltic states offer a model for Europe, grounded in their forward-thinking perspective and social contract.
- Their focus on security and integration stems from a history of geopolitical upheaval.

