Simplifying Complexity

How does a poor kid get ahead? Part 2

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Aug 7, 2023
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INSIGHT

Economic Connectedness Predicts Mobility

  • Economic connectedness measures how many friends a low-income person has who are above median income.
  • A poor person's fraction of above-median friends predicts their opportunities and potential mobility long-term.
INSIGHT

Inferring Income From Digital Signals

  • Facebook network data plus machine learning inferred users' socioeconomic status using location, device, schools, and usage patterns.
  • These inferred incomes allowed large-scale measurement of cross-class friendships across regions and institutions.
ANECDOTE

High School Friendships Shape Futures

  • High-school friends' parents' incomes strongly predict a student's eventual earnings even after controlling for parental income.
  • Peer norms, information about college, and direct referrals from friends' networks drive that predictive power.
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