Will the Economic Recovery Run Out of Steam?

After a year of solid gains the economic recovery is beginning to slow. Demand is trailing off as inventory levels have been restored and emergency stimulus measures withdrawn. Continued high unemployment and a downtick in housing are weighing on consumer confidence and spending. Add unexpected shocks from Europe and a slowdown in China and forecasters are now ratcheting down their expectations for growth over the next year. While many still expect economic expansion to continue in the longer term ”we have definitely hit a soft patch ” one Wharton faculty member notes.

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