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Why This Isn't the Dot-Com Bubble | Martin Casado on WSJ's BOLD NAMES

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Feb 5, 2026
Martin Casado, general partner at Andreessen Horowitz with deep networking and cloud infrastructure expertise, explains why today's AI spending is different from the dot‑com era. He breaks down where AI dollars flow into data‑center infrastructure. He outlines infrastructure investing from chips to developer tools. He highlights the long tail of AI opportunities beyond the largest models.
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INSIGHT

Infrastructure Dominates AI Spend

  • Most AI spending today flows into data center capacity: GPUs, real estate, power, and cooling.
  • Software and teams matter, but infrastructure dominates near-term AI costs.
INSIGHT

Balance Sheets Make This Different

  • The fundamentals behind today's AI build-out differ markedly from the dot-com era.
  • Modern tech giants have large cash reserves and established revenue streams funding infrastructure spend.
ADVICE

Plan Infrastructure Ahead, Ignore Hype

  • Don’t conflate public expectation-setting with operational plans when CEOs temper AI hype.
  • Plan infrastructure 3–5 years ahead because buildouts take that long.
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