Bloomberg Intelligence

China Orders Companies to Stop Buying Nvidia AI Chip

Sep 17, 2025
Mandeep Singh, Bloomberg Intelligence's Global Head of Technology Research, shares insights on China's directive to halt Nvidia chip purchases, revealing how this move impacts AI chip demand and TikTok's valuation. He discusses the broader effects on technology supply chains and monetization changes driven by AI. Additionally, he connects these developments to shifts in creator earnings and search strategies amid evolving geopolitical landscapes. It's a deep dive into the confluence of tech, policy, and market trends.
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ADVICE

Expect Oracle In Any TikTok Deal

  • Expect Oracle to be central to any U.S. TikTok carve‑out because it already runs the backend.
  • Treat Oracle participation as a near‑necessity when evaluating possible deal outcomes.
INSIGHT

TikTok US Valuation Range

  • Valuing U.S. TikTok assets falls in the roughly $40–50B range using comparable social apps.
  • Geopolitical constraints may limit which buyers can realistically compete at that price.
INSIGHT

AI Erodes TikTok's Algorithm Moat

  • Generative AI reduces TikTok's algorithm moat because new recommendation systems can be rebuilt with LLM tools.
  • That lowers the barrier for a new owner to recreate recommendation quality if they choose to rewrite the algorithm.
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