The Daily Signal

Blame Japan, Not Trump: The Truth Behind the Market Drop and Greenland Deal | E.J. Antoni

Jan 31, 2026
They untangle a mistaken link between a political spat over Greenland and a global market drop. They trace the real market shock back to turmoil in Japan, including a snap election and bond-market fallout. They discuss how yen carry trades unwind and why Greenland matters for military access and rare minerals. They warn that Japan’s debt trajectory could foreshadow risks elsewhere.
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INSIGHT

Greenland Comments Didn't Trigger The Crash

  • Market panic after Trump's Greenland comments was misattributed by many observers.
  • The initial announcement produced almost no market movement, so the sell-off had another cause.
INSIGHT

Japan Sparked A Global Unwind

  • A shock in Japan triggered global liquidation via the yen carry trade unwind.
  • Rising Japanese yields forced hedge funds to sell U.S. positions to repay yen-funded loans.
INSIGHT

How The Yen Carry Trade Amplified Risk

  • The yen carry trade depended on Japan's ultra-low interest rates to fund purchases of U.S. assets.
  • As Japanese yields rose, leveraged funds liquidated positions to avoid rising borrowing costs.
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