The David Lin Report

$250 Oil Next: Why No One Is Prepared For The Biggest Event Of Our Time | Josh Young

7 snips
Mar 7, 2026
Josh Young, CIO and Founder of Bison Interests, is an oil-market strategist focused on resource-driven opportunities. He breaks down the Iran-triggered oil shock and Strait of Hormuz closure. He explains delayed price reactions, how prolonged disruptions could lift oil to inflation-adjusted highs, limits of US supply responses, and where energy-related investment opportunities may emerge.
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INSIGHT

Strait Of Hormuz Closure Is A Sustained Supply Shock

  • Iran retaliation closed the Strait of Hormuz and daily oil price ratcheting reflects a sustained supply shock rather than a short blip.
  • Josh Young compares this to the Houthis in the Red Sea and warns markets assumed a quick fix, so prices are rising ~5% per day when closure persists.
INSIGHT

All Time High Oil Prices Are Plausible This Cycle

  • Josh Young says unresolved closure could push oil to inflation‑adjusted all‑time highs near $200+ and he personally wears a $250 WTI hat.
  • He frames 2008's $147 nominal high as ~200+ inflation adjusted and says cycles often hit new peaks.
ADVICE

Release The Strategic Petroleum Reserve Now

  • Use the Strategic Petroleum Reserve now to blunt the shock because it was designed for Strait of Hormuz disruptions.
  • Josh criticizes prior SPR draws for political timing and says releasing it would be appropriate immediately.
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