School of War General Frank McKenzie on the War in Iran
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Mar 6, 2026 General Kenneth “Frank” McKenzie Jr, retired four-star Marine and former CENTCOM commander, offers strategic analysis on Iran. He discusses Iran’s regional retaliation approach and why it was a mistake. He breaks down ballistic missile and drone threats, naval and mining risks, and how Soleimani and proxy networks shaped Iran’s posture. He explores possible military outcomes and paths toward regime change.
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Gulf Participation Will Expand Air Campaign Options
- Gulf states joining the fight strengthens coalition air operations and opens use of non-fifth-generation aircraft.
- McKenzie expects Arab militaries to contribute once their cities and citizens are attacked, expanding operational air capacity.
Strike Missiles In Storage Not In Flight
- Prioritize destroying missile stocks and fixed launch infrastructure before launch to preserve interceptor stocks.
- McKenzie stresses striking storage, launch sites, and personnel so opponents cannot mass salvo fires.
Persistent Overhead Surveillance Will Degrade Iranian Drone Threat
- Drones are harder to detect and have given Iran modest successes, but persistent overhead surveillance can expose launches.
- McKenzie expects assembly and launch areas to be found and struck, reducing Iran's drone effectiveness over time.